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Analysis of the Horn of Africa
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Mogadishu’s Land Crisis: When the State Becomes the Thief
On May 10, 2026, government security forces shot and killed a civilian in Daynille District, Mogadishu, while that person was exercising their lawful right to peaceful protest. Several others were wounded. The only armed actors present, according to former Prime Minister Hassan Ali Khaire, who condemned the killing…
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Garowe Is Calling. And Somalia’s Remaining States Are Listening
I want to talk about what comes next. Not what has already happened, that record speaks for itself. I want to talk about the scenario that Somalia’s political establishment, its international partners, and frankly most of its analysts are still treating as a possibility rather than a trajectory.…
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Somalia’s Constitutional Moment: Neither Side Deserves Applause
Somalia has a new constitution. After thirteen years of stalling, negotiating, boycotting, and political theatre, the Federal Parliament voted on March 4 to adopt a permanent charter. The government is celebrating. The opposition is condemning. Both are performing for their own audiences. Neither is speaking honestly about what…
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The Populist Appeal of Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo: Understanding Persistent Support Beyond Performance
When supporters from across the Somali diaspora pooled resources to gift former President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo a house named “Mahadsanid Madaxweyne” (Thank You Mr. President), they demonstrated a fundamental truth about populist politics: the combination of tangible achievements and powerful symbolism creates enduring political capital. This phenomenon becomes…
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The Morning After: Somalia’s Electoral Gamble and the Road to 2026
A follow-up to “A Pragmatic Path Forward: Why Somalia Needs a Hybrid Electoral Approach” On February 1, 2026, what was supposed to be a breakthrough moment for Somali national unity collapsed before it began. Aircraft carrying security personnel for Puntland President Said Abdullahi Deni and Jubaland President Ahmed…
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From Proposal to Reality: Las Anod Emerges as the Symbolic Center of Somali Unity
Introduction Less than a month ago, in response to Israel’s controversial recognition of Somaliland, I argued in these pages that Somalia should consider relocating its capital to Lascaanood—a bold move that would physically embody the Federal Government’s commitment to national unity and territorial integrity. Today, as President Hassan…
